NEW YORK (CNNMoney.com) -- In a sign that more foreclosures could be
on the horizon, 23% of people with mortgages owe more than their home is
worth, according to a report released Tuesday.
Almost 10.7
million U.S. mortgages were "underwater" as of September, said research
firm First American CoreLogic.
Another 2.3 million homeowners are
within 5% of negative territory, the report said. The two figures
combined comprise almost 28% of all residential properties with
mortgages.
Negative equity, also called an "underwater" or "upside
down" mortgage, has become more common as home values plummet. The
report is closely watched because borrowers who are underwater are more
likely to be foreclosed.
Foreclosures
have been rampant for some time, but lately the tide of decay had
seemed to be slowing -- so Tuesday's report could dent optimism for the
housing market over the next few months.
On the other hand, the
trend that turned so many mortgages upside-down -- falling home prices
-- has reversed the past six months. The S&P/Case-Shiller HomePrice
Index has reported two
consecutive quarters of increasing prices.
If home prices
continue to go up or, at least stabilize, fewer mortgage borrowers will
find themselves underwater in the coming months.
CoreLogic
changed its methodology for the third quarter -- now it accounts for
payments that reduce principal, and it no longer assumes home equity
credit lines have been maxed out. Using the old method, 33.8% of
borrowers would have been underwater in the third quarter compared with
32.2% in the previous quarter,
according to a CoreLogic spokeswoman.
State
totals: The majority of underwater mortgages are heavily
concentrated in five states that have particularly suffered from the
housing bust: Nevada, at 65%; Arizona, at 48%; Florida, at 45%;
Michigan, at 37%; and California, at 35%.
These five states have
been especially beleaguered because of a high rate of prime loans that
went bad. Many of those loans were option-adjustable rate mortgages, in
which borrowers could choose to make minimum payments that were so low
they did not even offset the interest being accumulated.
When that
accumulated debt reaches a certain point -- usually 10% to 25% more
than the original principal -- the option-ARMs loans are recast into
fixed-rate mortgages. When that happens, many borrowers cannot afford
the new payments.
Source: cnn.com