NEW YORK (CNNMoney.com) -- American homeowners will have lost nearly
$500 billion in home value by year's end.
Still, that's a big
improvement over 2008, when values fell by $3.6 trillion, according to a
report released Wednesday by real estate Web site Zillow, which
provides online appraisals for tens of millions of properties
nationwide.
"Home values stabilized significantly during the
second half of 2009, with the total dollar value of U.S. homes
increasing since June," said Zillow's chief economist, Stan Humphries,
in a prepared statement. "Most housing markets across the country had a
good summer, spurred largely by the government's tax credits for
homebuyers combined with very low mortgage rates."
The gigantic
Los Angeles market suffered the largest total loss in home value, at
$60.8 billion. Metro Chicago values fell $49.6 billion and New York
dropped $49 billion.
Some housing markets recorded gains for the
year. In the Boston metropolitan area, home values rose an average of
1.5%, lifting total market value by $23.3 billion there. Nearby
Providence, R.I., gained $12.4 billion; and Denver increased $10.7
billion.
Stable
or growing home values are a welcome salve for the foreclosure pox that
has devastated many housing markets. Having equity enables homeowners
to avoid foreclosure because they can tap the money should they hit
rough financial stretches. Or, in a worse case scenario, they can still
sell their homes at a profit if they can't pay their mortgages.
"Negative
equity is the most important predictor of default," said Laurie
Goodman, Managing Director of Amherst Securities, trader of mortgage
backed securities, in testimony Tuesday before the House Financial
Services Committee that examined private and public responses to the
mortgage crisis.
"Borrowers do not default because of negative
equity alone," she said. "Generally, a borrower experiences a change in
financial circumstances. If the homes has substantial negative equity,
they choose to walk."
In October, 21% of homeowners were underwater, meaning they owe more
than their homes are worth. That's down from 23% a year earlier.
The
second-half recovery may be just a temporary reprieve for housing
values, however.
"Unfortunately, we believe that demand will come
under downward pressure as mortgage rates creep back up after the first
quarter and that housing supply will experience upward pressure as the
volume of foreclosures continues to remain high," he said.
Source:cnn.com